UFC 154 ‘St. Pierre vs. Condit’ Preview

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Featherweights

Mark Hominick (20-11, 3-3 UFC) vs. Pablo Garza (11-3, 2-2 UFC)

The Matchup: It has been a precipitous fall from No. 1 contender’s status for Hominick, who enters his bout with Garza on a three-fight skid. While “The Machine” garnered plenty of accolades for his resilient effort against reigning featherweight king Jose Aldo at UFC 129, his last two outings have been perplexing.

Normally known as one of the most technical strikers in the sport, lapses against Chan Sung Jung (an errant left hook) and Eddie Yagin (two rounds of brawling) have Hominick in his current position. The Team Tompkins protégé is once again a considerable favorite, as he was in his last two fights, but recent history dictates that there are no cakewalks for Hominick anymore.

Garza made a memorable impression in his UFC debut, knocking out Fredson Paixao with a spectacular flying knee at “The Ultimate Fighter 12” Finale. The North Dakotan has lost two of three since, falling to Dustin Poirer and Dennis Bermudez in his last two appearances.

Despite a five-inch reach disadvantage against the 6-foot-1 Garza, Hominick should be able rack up the points on the feet using crisp punches and kicks. Hominick faced similar odds against George Roop in a 2011 bout, and he was able to navigate distance effectively enough to score a first-round TKO. Considering that Garza has offered little in the way of standup since the Paixao finish, Hominick should be able to weave in and out of striking range without too much difficultly. Garza’s lanky frame also presents a large and inviting target for leg kicks, something Hominick should employ early and often to wear down his opponent.

Garza does not present a takedown threat, as he is more likely to pull guard in hopes of attempting a submission. Since he will not have to worry about Garza shooting, Hominick will be able to unveil his full offensive arsenal.

The Pick: This is a good opportunity for Hominick to get back on the winning track. Unless he gets careless and goes to the floor with Garza, the Canadian will control this bout with his kickboxing. Hominick wins by decision.

Last Fights » The Prelims